Indian Wells : Soderling Vs. Gasquet

Today is not a huge day for betting in tennis, although a few interesting matches will be in play. The headline (at least from my point of view), is that match between Frenchman Richard Gasquet and Sweden's Robin Soderling. Both good players, but currently in different streaks.
Gasquet is one of the most explosive players in the ATP. With an incredible forehand and good mental play, he has all the makings to be No. 1 in the ATP. But he is NOT. Currently seating on the eight spot in the singles rankings, he is just at 7-4 this season, displaying little or no consistency in his game. Last week, the Frechman lost to Igor Andreev (No. 31 in the ATP rankings) in the second round.
Robin Soderling had his 2007 season compromised by an injury, and that is the main reason why he is ranked only on the 39 spot. The second reason why he is so low in the rankings (at leas compared to his actual level of play) is that even tough he had 4 great months, things just went down for the Swede after the Monte Carlo Tournament. He was 14-6 until that and 11-9 after it, finishing the season at 25-15 shortly after Wimbledon due to a wrist injury.
This year, the Swede is playing very well, reaching a 11-3 record after his victory yesterday against Grosjean. Soderling is 4-2 in the h2h, winning the last 2 matches (in Marseille 2007 and 2008).
All the stats tell me that Soderling should win this match.
It's matches like this that make online gambling and online betting exciting.

Tip:Richard Gasquet v Robin Soderling : Soderling to win @ 1.83 4 units - BET365 LOST

Here is another tip, without the analysis.
Combo :
Marc Gicquel v James Blake : Blake to win @ 1.25 OK
David Ferrer v Olivier Rochus : Ferrer to win @ 1.22OK
Total Odd : 1.52 - 8 units : BET365 OK +4.16 units

Ballance This Week: +4.72 units
Ballance This Month : +9.66units
Overall Ballance : +9.66units

Indian Wells : First Round

These is my tip for tomorrow :

combo :

Sebastien Grosjean v Robin Soderling : Soderling to win @ 1.36 : BET365 : OK

Soderling played well in his recent tournaments and i believe he has quite a momentum building up. He is 10-3 this year and reached two consecutive finals in Rotterdam (lost to Llodra) and Memphis (lost to Darcis).
On the other side, Grosjean is 4-5 so far and did not impress with his level of play.
My guess is Soderling will grab this one

Mario Ancic v Gael Monfils : Ancic to win @ 1.28 : BET365 : OK

After a 2007 season that was compromised by his injury, Ancic showed some good tennis, defeating players like Tsonga, Soderling and Baghdatis. He is 7-2 this season.
On the other hand, Monfils played only 1 match this year, and lost it to Tomas Berdych, last week in Dubai. Soderling is the better player at the moment and i think he will grab this one

Total odd : 1.76 : 6 units @ BET365 : OK +4.56 units

Ballance This Week: +4.56 units
Ballance This Month : +9.5units
Overall Ballance : +9.5units

Weeks 11/12 : Indian Wells

Tomorrow the matches on the main draw will begin at Indian Wells. This is a tournament I've been expecting, because all the good players are here. And a thing that backs up my affirmations is that seed No. 32 is ranked exactly 32 in the ATP. It has been a while since all the top 32 players were lining up at the start of a tournament (except the Grand Slams).

If it was difficult to predict the winner from the first round at the past tournament, this time i will not even try, but i will make a few notes concerning some players here.
Federer is definitely motivated enough for this tournament after losing in the first round in Dubai, and will try to capture his first title this year. Like always, it will be a surprise if he does not win this one, but i am guessing his ambition will also play a big part in this tournament.
Djokovic and Nadal will be also trying to get as many points as possible under their belt, but Nadal did not show impressive tennis these last few weeks. The Serbian is most likely not to trip against a mediocre player here, but i don't think he will go trough and actually win this one.
A player i like and i think had some bad luck here is Andy Roddick. I am impressed by the way Roddick played and his focus for the game in this season. But unfortunately for him, he is matched up to play against Federer in an eventual quarterfinal. If both players will get that far, Andy does not have great odds in defeating the Swiss Tennis Machine, but if Federer trips, Roddick becomes my favorite.
Of course, there are a lot of good players here, but my guess this one will go to a top 10 player. Just my personal feeling on this one.
I also like 3 unseeded players that may do some damage amongst the seeds :
Soderling is one of the player i like a lot for this season, and if he can defeat the Frenchman again (Grosjean and then maybe Gasquet), his path is clear for a potential quarterfinal.
Ancic received a wild card, but his first round match against Gael Monfils is one of the toughest. My guess is that the Croatian will win his first round match, but he was not very lucky and his matches will be quite difficult.
LLodra is also i think has done well this season. He is matched up against H.T. Lee in the first round and my guess is he can reach at least round 3.

There are a lot of matches, and i will post my predictions for some of them when the odds will become available.

Interesting Tennis Season

This year, the upsets in tennis are coming more often than any other season so far. And even tough tennis was a tough sport to predict the results, this year that task may become even harder. Previous seasons, you could actually play combos on all the top 10 players and get a decent odd. But even If you are not gambling, and you go and buy a ticket for the whole tournament, expecting to see Federer play each day of the week, or even Nadal or Djokovic. This year, it’s a wise decision to buy a ticket for the whole tournament only if you like the sport, not the players. I will write a post about all the upsets of this season, but first of all I would like to talk about the cause, not the effect.

There are only 2 reasons to explain why the tournaments are won by players you wouldn’t expect : either all the players are playing great, either all of them are playing at a mediocre level. I think the second one is more appropriate to consider.

One year ago, they were saying that Federer is not actually the best player to ever play (also considering the natural advances of sports, and of the technology involved), but he might seem that way because of the weak competition. I did not know what to think about that because I could see Hewitt, Roddick, Safin and Nadal playing so well. But now I am sure that the level is not a great one. I followed a lot of matches this year, and I must confess that I was often tempted to change the channel or take a nap (I actually fell asleep at the Hewitt – Seppi match). I saw Murray against Haase and I could not believe that he won a few days earlier in Marseille. I also saw a player that is mediocre in all aspects of his game take out Hewitt and then even Raffael Nadal, the player currently sitting on the second position in the ATP. But the one person I tought is playing well has shown some weakness lately. Federer is not the robot he used to be, and the fact that he is 5-2 this season so far tells a lot about his level of play. But it should be an interesting season, if not the best one ever. I think that Djokovic and Nadal will continue to narrow the gap (Nadal is sitting at just -350 points), maybe even switching places before Shanghai, but my guess is Federer will win this season. But this is where the fun starts : I think we will have so many upsets and so many players will gain points, that we will have the most interesting season ending in a while. Why ? Only 1000 points separate place No. 8 and place No. 37. This is a small amount of points to win and lose throughout a season. We could also see Andy Roddick coming back to the top this year, after an impressive season start (15 – 2 so far and won 2 tournaments in 3 weeks). But I think we will see players like Ancic and Ljubicic back in the top 20 by November, and also new players like Soderling, Llodra, Tsonga and others. It should be an interesting season if not the best.

BuzzFuse

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In conclusion, if you write, sing or take photos, this is a site you may want to visit.

Andy Roddick Wins His Second Title This Season

Andy Roddick managed to win his match against Spaniard Feliciano Lopez and win the title in Dubai. In the first set, Roddick was unable to win any of the 3 break points he had and lost in the tie-break. In the second and third set, the American was in control, winning 36 out of his 44 point on both serves and 28 out of his 30 first serves. After the final point, the scoreboard was showing : 6-7 6-4 6-2 for Andy Roddick.
Overall, i think Roddick deserved to capture the title, since he was able to eliminate both No. 2 and No. 3 in the ATP rankings without losing a single set.

This was a good week of tennis, even tough it seems that the seeds are not making it to the finals, but things maybe will calm down. Regarding my tips section, it's good that i kept a positive ballance, but i could of been better.

Ballance This Week: +4.94 units
Ballance This Month : +4.94 units
Overall Ballance : +4.94 units
Overall Percentage : 60%