Thursday, March 20, 2008

Indian Wells Quarterfinals

No time for analysis today (i'm leaving tomorrow on a trip and i need to pack some things :P ). The most interesting match should be the one between Rafael Nadal and James Blake.

TIP 1:
James Blake v Rafael Nadal : Nadal to win 5 units @ 1.80 - BET365 OK +4 units
TIP 2:
Roger Federer v Tommy Haas : Haas +6 to win 5 units @ 1.90 - BET365 - CANCELLED

Ballance This Week: +4.76 units
Ballance This Month : +18.34 units
Overall Ballance : +18.34 units

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Indian Wells : Fourth Round

The fourth round should be where surprises come up. Every match can go either way, and in my opinion it's just a matter of pure luck to bet on either one. If i would go on intuition, i would take Wawrinka against H.T. Lee, Ferrero against Nalbandian, Nadal against Tsonga, Murray against Haas, Hewitt agains Fish.
The first tip for today is the Combo tip. I don't think these favorites for both singles and doubles can stumble today.
The second tip is Blake against Gasquet. James Blake is not much of a better player than Gasquet at the moment, but i think he is. The odds are just to good not to play on Blake today a small amount. Blake has the crowd behind him, and once he gets going is difficult to stop.

COMBO TIP
Guillermo Canas v Novak Djokovic : Djokovic to win @ 1.16 OK
Roger Federer v Ivan Ljubicic : Federer to win 2-0 @ 1.22 OK
B. Bryan & M. Bryan v M. Mirnyi & J. Murray : Bryan & Bryan to win @1.28 LOST
Total : 6 units @ 1.81 - BET365 LOST

SINGLE TIP
Richard Gasquet v James Blake : Blake to win 6 units@ 2.25 - BET365 OK +7.5 units

Ballance This Week: +0.76 units
Ballance This Month : +14.34 units
Overall Ballance : +14.34 units

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Indian Wells : Mario Ancic v J.C. Ferrero

Unfortunately i have no time to make an analysis, due to an ilness, but i do want to share a tip on a match that will be played today.

TIP :
Mario Ancic v Juan Carlos Ferrero : Ancic to win @ 1.53 6 units - BET365 LOST

Ancic is playing really well, and if this match would of been played on clay, Ferrero had the first chance to grab this one, but on hard, i think Ancic is the better player at the moment.

Ballance This Week: -0.74 units
Ballance This Month : +12.84 units
Overall Ballance : +12.84 units

Monday, March 17, 2008

Indian Wells : Third Round

This should be an interesting day at Indian Wells. A few clashes that i find very exciting will be under way.

The first of them is the "epic" battle between Carlos Moya and James Blake. These players have met 11 times before in the ATP circuit, so it's clear that they are very acquainted with each other's style of play. All tennis fans know that Moya is a great player in clay despite his age (32 years). And we can't say that he does bad on other surfaces, but the fact that he chooses to play on clay in the intermediate seasons is proof to that theory. Moya is 5-3 this season on both hard and clay, reaching a 10-6 record. Currently seating on the 19'th spot in the rankings, Moya did not impress anyone with his tennis, especially on hard, where he lost to Nadal, Koubek and Calleri. The only top player he defeated was Robbie Ginepri (in the second round here). On the other hand, Blake is 9-3 on hard, including a quarterfinal at the Australian Open where he was defeated by Federer. He had some slips, but in front of new players. Blake has a way of self-motivating when playing against a top player. He leads 6-5 against Moya (4-1 since 2006), and my guess is that he will take this.

Another match i advise you to watch is the clash between Serbian Novak Djokovic and Germany's Phillip Kohlschreiber. Kohlschreiber is a player who progressed a lot and he can pose some problems in this match.

Baghdatis matches up with Wawrinka for a place in the fourth round. Even tough Baghdatis can is probably the better player, Wawrinka is a player with a lot of potential, and he can win any match if he is in the right "zone".

TIP :
COMBO
Carlos Moya v James Blake : Blake to win @ 1.40 - BET365 OK
Donald Young v Rafael Nadal : Nadal to win @ 1.07 - BET365 OK
TOTAL 6 units @ 1.49 : BET365 OK +2.94 units

Ballance This Week: +5.28 units
Ballance This Month : +18.84 units
Overall Ballance : +18.84 units

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Indian Wells : Second Round

Very tight matches today, at least as far as the stats tell us. If you are a fan of online betting, i will recommend these 2 matches to be played as a combo :

Fernando Gonzalez v Mario Ancic
This is a match between 2 players with identical records this year : 8-2 in major tournaments.
Both players like to play on hard, but i think Ancic is in a better form then Gonzalez. Ancic defeated players like Tsonga, Soderling, Baghdatis and Monfils, while losing only to Davydenko and Murray (ranked fourth and eleventh in the ATP). Not bad for a player currently ranked 72. On the other hand, while Gonzales won and lost the exact same amount of matches, he defeated players like H.T. Lee, Berloq and so on, players that are not that great at the moment. Gonzalez lost at the Australian Open in front of Marin Cilic and last week he lost at Las Vegas, in the second round, against Korolev. So i will put it like an amateur would : If Gonzalez lost to mediocre players, defeated no top player and Ancic sliced and diced amongst good players... who is most likely to win this match. If i will also make an analysis of the way they play, Ancic has a great serve and forehand on Hard, while Gonzales lacks the explosiveness he once had.

Roger Federer v Guillermo Garcia Lopez
I really don't think it's any use for anyone if i make an analysis of this match.

TIP :
Fernando Gonzalez v Mario Ancic : Ancic to win @ 1.50 - BET365 OK

Roger Federer v Guillermo Garcia Lopez : Federer to win 2-0 @ 1.10 - BET365 OK
TOTAL : 6 units @ 1.65 - BET365 OK +3.9 units

Ballance This Week: +8.62 units
Ballance This Month : +13.56units
Overall Ballance : +13.56units