Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Miami Quarter Finals

So we have reached the quarter finals. It should be an interesting day...

Federer - Roddick
Roddick has played very well this season, but had some moments when he lacked concentration, losing to mediocre players. He already won 2 tournaments this year and holds a 18-3 record so far.
On the other hand, Federer is... Federer. There is little to say about the Swiss except the fact that he is definitely not on top of his game at the moment. He dominates the head to head with 16-2. My guess is this one will go in 3 sets, but Federer will win it.

TIP :
Federer to win 2-1 : 4 units @ 4.33 - BET365

Davydenko - Tipsarevic
Davydenko is the player with the most consistency in the ATP circuit. Personally, i don't like him nor his tennis but i must admit he is an example of concentration and mental stability trough out his entire career. His record this year is 16-5 : not better not worse compared to his last 3 or maybe even 4 years.
Tipsarevic is a player i am considering to bet more on in the next few weeks if his odds don't drop too much after this tournament. He is a player that does not stand out but has decent skills. He is not exactly top 10 material yet, but his game is solid without impressing.
My guess is Davydenko's experience will make the Russian grab this one.

TIP :
Davydenko(-3) to win, 5 units @ 2 - BE365

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Miami : Round 4

TIP :
Davydenko, N - Ancic, M : Ancic to win 3 units @ 1.73 -NOXWIN LOST


Monday, March 31, 2008

Miami : Round 3

Today the round 3 matches from the top of the main draw are to be played. I have to say that my guess is that whoever wins the upper side of the draw will be the winner of this tournament. Mainly because Federer is here, but also because players like Tsonga, Ancic and Roddick are not be overlooked.

Roger Federer - Robin Soderling
These guys have played 4 times before, Federer winning all of them, but 3 of them were very close, the last of them (in Halle 2006) being a double tie-breaker in favor of the Swiss. Soderling is playing really well this season, but Federer has lost a little too much, and has shown some commitment to his game in this tournament. Federer is most likely to get it, but my guess is that it will be close.

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga v Julien Benneteau
This is a match i think Tsonga will dominate. He is playing well (not like he played in the Australian Open), but still, some good quality tennis throughout this season. On the other side, Benneteau is a mediocre player, losing this season to Querrery, Haas, Youzhny and Seppi while grabbing no major win this season. 13-5 for Tsonga this season while Benneteau is at 8-6. Tsonga is most likely to win this one.

Juan Monaco v Mario Ancic
I just have no clue why the odds on Ancic have been this high all season. I mean, he is a very good player, and he came back well from the injury he sustained last year. Ancic is 11-3 this season, and he defeated players like Tsonga, Baghdatis, Soderling and Murray this season, while losing only in front of top players : Murray, Ljubicic and Ferrero. Ok, maybe the loss against Ljubicic poses some questions, but Juan Monaco, a clay-player that lost to Calleri, Horna and Canas in the last 3 tournaments while grabbing only 2 victories, has few hopes against Ancic. How can anyone pass out on a 1.50 odd on this match ?

Ivo Minar v Andy Roddick
Nothing but the March-madness can make Roddick lose this match. I am hoping that this has passed. Roddick has a great season 16-3. The only time he actually slipped was in front of T. Haas 2 weeks ago. He won 2 tournaments so far this year, ranked fifth in the ATP race. Minar had a decent year so far, but i don't think this qualifier can upset Roddick on home ground. Small odds tough for Andy.

TIP :
Tsonga - Benneteau, Tsonga to win @ 1.26 -NOXWIN LOST
Monaco - Ancic, Ancic to win @ 1.47 -NOXWIN OK
Minar - Roddick, Roddick to win @ 1.08 -NOXWIN OK
TOTAL : 7 units @ 2.00 - NOXWIN - LOST

Ballance This Week: -7 UNITS
Ballance This Month : +10.01 units
Overall Ballance : +10.01 units