Monday, March 31, 2008

Miami : Round 3

Today the round 3 matches from the top of the main draw are to be played. I have to say that my guess is that whoever wins the upper side of the draw will be the winner of this tournament. Mainly because Federer is here, but also because players like Tsonga, Ancic and Roddick are not be overlooked.

Roger Federer - Robin Soderling
These guys have played 4 times before, Federer winning all of them, but 3 of them were very close, the last of them (in Halle 2006) being a double tie-breaker in favor of the Swiss. Soderling is playing really well this season, but Federer has lost a little too much, and has shown some commitment to his game in this tournament. Federer is most likely to get it, but my guess is that it will be close.

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga v Julien Benneteau
This is a match i think Tsonga will dominate. He is playing well (not like he played in the Australian Open), but still, some good quality tennis throughout this season. On the other side, Benneteau is a mediocre player, losing this season to Querrery, Haas, Youzhny and Seppi while grabbing no major win this season. 13-5 for Tsonga this season while Benneteau is at 8-6. Tsonga is most likely to win this one.

Juan Monaco v Mario Ancic
I just have no clue why the odds on Ancic have been this high all season. I mean, he is a very good player, and he came back well from the injury he sustained last year. Ancic is 11-3 this season, and he defeated players like Tsonga, Baghdatis, Soderling and Murray this season, while losing only in front of top players : Murray, Ljubicic and Ferrero. Ok, maybe the loss against Ljubicic poses some questions, but Juan Monaco, a clay-player that lost to Calleri, Horna and Canas in the last 3 tournaments while grabbing only 2 victories, has few hopes against Ancic. How can anyone pass out on a 1.50 odd on this match ?

Ivo Minar v Andy Roddick
Nothing but the March-madness can make Roddick lose this match. I am hoping that this has passed. Roddick has a great season 16-3. The only time he actually slipped was in front of T. Haas 2 weeks ago. He won 2 tournaments so far this year, ranked fifth in the ATP race. Minar had a decent year so far, but i don't think this qualifier can upset Roddick on home ground. Small odds tough for Andy.

TIP :
Tsonga - Benneteau, Tsonga to win @ 1.26 -NOXWIN LOST
Monaco - Ancic, Ancic to win @ 1.47 -NOXWIN OK
Minar - Roddick, Roddick to win @ 1.08 -NOXWIN OK
TOTAL : 7 units @ 2.00 - NOXWIN - LOST

Ballance This Week: -7 UNITS
Ballance This Month : +10.01 units
Overall Ballance : +10.01 units

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